Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 11:35 UTC

Final: Shenzhen Peng City FC 2–3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Prediction 20.30%4.93fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.325%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.69%20.22%20.31%21.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.514.504.9924.39%22.17%22.22%20.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)

Prediction 57.03%1.75fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.87%57.09%57.09%59.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.60%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.67%4.41fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.02%22.70%22.60%24.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.994.004.2328.57%25.03%25.00%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 20.30%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 57.03%; Draw: 22.67%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.99I 20.04%NM 18.69%EV +1.30%E +0.260%K +0.325%G +0.004%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.04%EV -9.90%E -6.26%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.26%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 11:30
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -0.532%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -9.33%E -5.87%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:28
Marathon Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -1.55%E -0.319%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -9.33%E -5.87%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 11:30
GTbets🎯4.77I 20.96%NM 19.51%EV -3.17%E -0.665%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.10%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.39%EV -9.76%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-27 11:09
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -3.58%E -0.753%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 11:10
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -3.58%E -0.753%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 11:29
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -4.59%E -0.977%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 11:29
Pinnacle🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.45%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.69%EV -4.09%E -0.967%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 11:20
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:28
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:30
Bet Victor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 11:28
Betsson🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.17%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-27 11:09
NordicBet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.17%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-27 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 11:10
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 11:10
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:10
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:09
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 11:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 11:10
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 11:30
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:19
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:20
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:20
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:19
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:30
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:30
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.97%E -3.99%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 11:29
LeoVegas🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.70%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.33%EV -5.34%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-20 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -11.70%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 13:29
Neds🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.10%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.84%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.10%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.84%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 11:09
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -12.71%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-27 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.71%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-20 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.71%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-20 13:20
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.74%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -11.61%E -7.49%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-27 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -14.74%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -20.64%E -5.90%K -8.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-27 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -16.77%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.16%EV -11.04%E -7.08%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-27 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 18.01%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.97%4.55I 21.98%NM 22.01%-0.2%2026-06-27 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-06-27 11:27
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-06-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%1.8%2026-06-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%1.8%2026-06-27 11:30