L’École des cotesFrançais
Shenzhen Peng City FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Prévision 20.30%4.93cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.260%
Kelly +0.325%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 4.99
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.69%20.22%20.31%21.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.514.504.9924.39%22.17%22.22%20.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.03%1.75cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -4.36%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.87%57.09%57.09%59.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.60%61.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.67%4.41cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -0.967%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.02%22.70%22.60%24.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.994.004.2328.57%25.03%25.00%23.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.69%EV +1.30%E +0.260%K +0.325%G +0.004% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.04%EV -9.90%E -6.26%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.26%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -0.532%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -9.33%E -5.87%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 11:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -1.55%E -0.319%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -9.33%E -5.87%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| GTbets | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.51%EV -3.17%E -0.665%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.10%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.39%EV -9.76%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -3.58%E -0.753%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -3.58%E -0.753%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| DraftKings | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -4.59%E -0.977%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.45%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.69%EV -4.09%E -0.967%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 11:20 |
| Bovada | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 11:28 |
| BetUS | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 11:28 |
| Betsson | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.17%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| NordicBet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.17%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| betfred_uk | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| BetRivers | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:20 |
| betPARX | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| Grosvenor | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:30 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.97%E -3.99%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.70%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.33%EV -5.34%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -11.70%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 13:29 |
| Neds | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.10%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.84%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.10%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.84%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -12.71%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.71%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.71%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 13:20 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.74%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -11.61%E -7.49%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -14.74%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -20.64%E -5.90%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-06-27 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -16.77%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.16%EV -11.04%E -7.08%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 5.56I 17.99%NM 18.01% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.97% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 22.01% | -0.2% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-06-27 11:27 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 1.8% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 1.8% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |