مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

البداية: 2026-06-27 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shenzhen Peng City FC 2–3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.30%4.93السعر العادل
EV +1.30%
الأفضلية +0.260%
Kelly +0.325%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.99

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.69%20.22%20.31%21.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.104.514.504.9924.39%22.17%22.22%20.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.03%1.75السعر العادل
EV -3.05%
الأفضلية -1.80%
Kelly -4.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.87%57.09%57.09%59.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.60%61.73%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.67%4.41السعر العادل
EV -4.09%
الأفضلية -0.967%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.02%22.70%22.60%24.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.994.004.2328.57%25.03%25.00%23.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.99I 20.04%NM 18.69%EV +1.30%E +0.260%K +0.325%G +0.004%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.04%EV -9.90%E -6.26%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.26%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 11:30
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -0.532%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -9.33%E -5.87%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:28
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -1.55%E -0.319%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -9.33%E -5.87%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 11:29
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:29
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 11:30
GTbets4.77I 20.96%NM 19.51%EV -3.17%E -0.665%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.10%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.39%EV -9.76%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-27 11:09
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -3.58%E -0.753%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 11:10
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -3.58%E -0.753%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 11:29
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -4.59%E -0.977%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 11:29
Pinnacle4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.45%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.69%EV -4.09%E -0.967%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 11:20
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:28
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:30
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 11:28
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.17%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-27 11:09
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.17%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-27 11:09
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 11:10
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 11:29
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 11:10
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:10
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:09
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 11:29
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 11:10
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 11:29
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 11:30
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 11:29
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:19
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:20
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:20
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:20
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:19
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:30
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.97%E -3.99%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 11:29
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.70%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.33%EV -5.34%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-20 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -11.70%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 13:29
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.10%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.84%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.10%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.84%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 11:09
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -12.71%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-27 11:09
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.71%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-20 13:19
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.71%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-20 13:20
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.74%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -11.61%E -7.49%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-27 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -14.74%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -20.64%E -5.90%K -8.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-27 11:25
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -16.77%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.16%EV -11.04%E -7.08%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-27 11:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 18.01%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.97%4.55I 21.98%NM 22.01%-0.2%2026-06-27 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-06-27 11:27
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-06-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%1.8%2026-06-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%1.8%2026-06-27 11:30