La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Shenzhen Peng City FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Predicción 20.30%4.93momio equitativo
EV +1.30%
Ventaja +0.260%
Kelly +0.325%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.69%20.22%20.31%21.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.514.504.9924.39%22.17%22.22%20.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)
Predicción 57.03%1.75momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -4.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.87%57.09%57.09%59.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.60%61.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.67%4.41momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -0.967%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.02%22.70%22.60%24.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.994.004.2328.57%25.03%25.00%23.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.69%EV +1.30%E +0.260%K +0.325%G +0.004% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.04%EV -9.90%E -6.26%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.26%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -0.532%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -9.33%E -5.87%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 11:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -1.55%E -0.319%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -9.33%E -5.87%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| GTbets | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.51%EV -3.17%E -0.665%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.10%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.39%EV -9.76%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -3.58%E -0.753%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -3.58%E -0.753%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| DraftKings | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -4.59%E -0.977%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.45%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.69%EV -4.09%E -0.967%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 11:20 |
| Bovada | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 11:28 |
| BetUS | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 11:28 |
| Betsson | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.17%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| NordicBet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.17%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| betfred_uk | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| BetRivers | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:20 |
| betPARX | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| Grosvenor | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:30 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.97%E -3.99%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.70%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.33%EV -5.34%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -11.70%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 13:29 |
| Neds | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.10%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.84%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.10%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.84%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -12.71%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.71%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.71%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-20 13:20 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.74%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -11.61%E -7.49%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -14.74%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -20.64%E -5.90%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-06-27 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -16.77%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.16%EV -11.04%E -7.08%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 5.56I 17.99%NM 18.01% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.97% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 22.01% | -0.2% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-06-27 11:27 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 1.8% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 1.8% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |