La scuola delle quote

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Inizio: 2026-06-27 11:35 UTC

Finale: Shenzhen Peng City FC 2–3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Casa)

Previsione 20.30%4.93quota equa
EV +1.30%
Vantaggio +0.260%
Kelly +0.325%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.69%20.22%20.31%21.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.514.504.9924.39%22.17%22.22%20.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.03%1.75quota equa
EV -3.05%
Vantaggio -1.80%
Kelly -4.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.87%57.09%57.09%59.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.60%61.73%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.67%4.41quota equa
EV -4.09%
Vantaggio -0.967%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.02%22.70%22.60%24.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.994.004.2328.57%25.03%25.00%23.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet4.99I 20.04%NM 18.69%EV +1.30%E +0.260%K +0.325%G +0.004%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.04%EV -9.90%E -6.26%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.26%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 11:30
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -0.532%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -9.33%E -5.87%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:28
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -1.55%E -0.319%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -9.33%E -5.87%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 11:29
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:29
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -2.56%E -0.534%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 11:30
GTbets4.77I 20.96%NM 19.51%EV -3.17%E -0.665%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.10%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.39%EV -9.76%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-27 11:09
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -3.58%E -0.753%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 11:10
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -3.58%E -0.753%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 11:29
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -4.59%E -0.977%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 11:29
Pinnacle4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.45%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.69%EV -4.09%E -0.967%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 11:20
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:28
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:30
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.62%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 11:28
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.17%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-27 11:09
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.17%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-27 11:09
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 11:10
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -4.77%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 11:29
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 11:10
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:10
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:09
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 11:29
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 11:10
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 11:29
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 11:30
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.65%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 11:29
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:19
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:20
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:20
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:20
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:19
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:30
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.44%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.68%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.97%E -3.99%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 11:29
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.70%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.33%EV -5.34%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-20 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -11.70%E -2.69%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 13:29
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.10%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.84%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.10%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.84%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 11:09
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -12.71%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.04%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-27 11:09
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.71%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-20 13:19
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.73%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.71%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-20 13:20
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.74%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -11.61%E -7.49%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-27 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -14.74%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -10.47%E -6.67%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -20.64%E -5.90%K -8.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-27 11:25
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -16.77%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.16%EV -11.04%E -7.08%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -11.57%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-27 11:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 18.01%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.97%4.55I 21.98%NM 22.01%-0.2%2026-06-27 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-06-27 11:27
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-06-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%1.8%2026-06-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%1.8%2026-06-27 11:30