Language:English
Shanghai SIPG FC v Beijing FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)
Prediction 41.65%2.40fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.86%41.69%41.57%43.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.202.202.3149.02%45.49%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Beijing FC (Visit)
Prediction 33.71%2.97fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.01%33.67%33.78%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.37%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.64%4.06fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -0.478%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.26%24.64%24.65%26.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.82%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 41.65%; Beijing FC (Visit): 33.71%; Draw: 24.64%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.41%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.80%EV -4.61%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.78%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -3.94%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.94%EV -5.62%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -5.13%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.90%E -0.999%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.68%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.56%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -8.33%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.53%E -3.39%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.84%EV -7.64%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 11:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 07:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.35%E -4.32%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.35%E -4.32%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -10.68%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.00%EV -12.36%E -4.76%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -13.36%E -6.42%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.13% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.33% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |