语言:简体中文
Shanghai SIPG FC v Beijing FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Shanghai SIPG FC (主队)
预测 41.65%2.40公平赔率
EV -3.78%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -2.89%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.31
博彩公司预测分布
39.86%41.69%41.57%43.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.202.202.3149.02%45.49%45.45%43.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
Beijing FC (客队)
预测 33.71%2.97公平赔率
EV -2.25%
优势 -0.776%
Kelly -1.18%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.90
博彩公司预测分布
32.01%33.67%33.78%34.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.37%36.36%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.64%4.06公平赔率
EV -1.43%
优势 -0.358%
Kelly -0.478%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.26%24.64%24.65%26.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.82%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Shanghai SIPG FC (主队)：41.65%；Beijing FC (客队)：33.71%；平局：24.64%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.06。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.00，期望值为-1.43%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.41%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.80%EV -4.61%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.78%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -3.94%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.94%EV -5.62%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -5.13%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.90%E -0.999%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.68%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.56%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -8.33%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.53%E -3.39%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.84%EV -7.64%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 11:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 07:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.35%E -4.32%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.35%E -4.32%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -10.68%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.00%EV -12.36%E -4.76%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -13.36%E -6.42%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.13% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.33% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |