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Shanghai SIPG FC v Beijing FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)
Predicción 41.65%2.40momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.86%41.69%41.57%43.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.042.202.202.3149.02%45.49%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Beijing FC (Visitante)
Predicción 33.71%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.776%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.01%33.67%33.78%34.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.37%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.64%4.06momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.358%
Kelly -0.478%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.26%24.64%24.65%26.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.82%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 41.65%; Beijing FC (Visitante): 33.71%; Empate: 24.64%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.06. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.00, con un valor esperado de -1.43%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.41%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.80%EV -4.61%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.78%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -3.94%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.94%EV -5.62%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -5.13%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.90%E -0.999%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.68%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.56%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -8.33%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.53%E -3.39%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.84%EV -7.64%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 11:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 07:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.35%E -4.32%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.35%E -4.32%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -10.68%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.00%EV -12.36%E -4.76%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -13.36%E -6.42%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.13% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.33% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |