Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shanghai SIPG FC v Beijing FC

Início: 2026-09-05 11:35 UTC

Final: Shanghai SIPG FC 0–0 Beijing FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Previsão 41.65%2.40odd justa
EV -3.78%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.86%41.69%41.57%43.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.042.202.202.3149.02%45.49%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Beijing FC (Visitante)

Previsão 33.71%2.97odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -0.776%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.01%33.67%33.78%34.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.37%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.64%4.06odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.358%
Kelly -0.478%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.26%24.64%24.65%26.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.82%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 41.65%; Beijing FC (Visitante): 33.71%; Empate: 24.64%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.06. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.00, com valor esperado de -1.43%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.41%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.80%EV -4.61%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.78%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:50
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -3.94%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.94%EV -5.62%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:40
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:39
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 14:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:10
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -5.13%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.90%E -0.999%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 06:10
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.68%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.56%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -8.33%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 11:20
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.53%E -3.39%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.84%EV -7.64%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 20:50
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 11:37
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 10:35
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 12:49
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 07:24
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 07:29
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 10:55
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 17:10
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.35%E -4.32%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.35%E -4.32%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -10.68%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-03 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.00%EV -12.36%E -4.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-04 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -13.36%E -6.42%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-02 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-02 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-09-04 13:35
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.13%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.33%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-09-04 14:30