Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai SIPG FC v Beijing FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shanghai SIPG FC 0–0 Beijing FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prévision 41.65%2.40cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -2.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.86%41.69%41.57%43.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.202.202.3149.02%45.49%45.45%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Beijing FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.71%2.97cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.776%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.01%33.67%33.78%34.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.37%36.36%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.64%4.06cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.358%
Kelly -0.478%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.26%24.64%24.65%26.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.82%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shanghai SIPG FC (Local) : 41.65% ; Beijing FC (Visiteur) : 33.71% ; Match nul : 24.64%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.06. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.00, pour une espérance de -1.43% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.41%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.80%EV -4.61%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.78%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:50
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -3.94%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.94%EV -5.62%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:40
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.42%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:39
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 14:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:10
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -5.13%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.90%E -0.999%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 06:10
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.68%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.56%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -8.33%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 11:20
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.53%E -3.39%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.84%EV -7.64%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 20:50
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 11:37
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.43%E -0.358%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 10:35
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 12:49
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 07:24
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.59%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 07:29
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 10:55
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 17:10
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.12%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -2.25%E -0.776%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.35%E -4.32%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -11.35%E -4.32%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -10.68%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-03 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.00%EV -12.36%E -4.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-04 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -13.36%E -6.42%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-02 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-02 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-09-04 13:35
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.13%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.33%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-09-04 14:30