The School of Odds

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

2026-07-18 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prediction 65.34%1.53fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -3.62%
Kelly -11.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.91%65.34%65.48%66.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.421.4575%71%71%69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit)

Prediction 14.72%6.79fair odd
EV -0.624%
Edge -0.092%
Kelly -0.109%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.00%14.72%14.68%16.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.106.136.136.7520%16%16%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 19.93%5.02fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.35%19.94%19.84%20.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.104.564.534.8924%22%22%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.25%E -3.62%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.80%EV -5.19%E -0.806%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.49%EV -2.52%E -0.516%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 12:04
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.67%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.30%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 12:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.67%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.30%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 12:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.67%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.30%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 12:44
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.67%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.30%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 12:49
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.10%EV -6.56%E -4.59%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -0.624%E -0.092%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.31%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:14
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -6.56%E -4.59%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.57%EV -4.89%E -0.758%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -4.32%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:54
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -6.56%E -4.59%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -7.25%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -9.30%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 12:04
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -6.56%E -4.59%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -7.25%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -9.30%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 12:04
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.21%E -5.08%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.67%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.30%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 12:04
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -7.87%E -5.58%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -4.30%E -0.662%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.32%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 12:49
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.68%EV -7.87%E -5.58%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -7.99%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.31%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 12:04
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -7.87%E -5.58%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.30%E -0.662%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -10.30%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 12:44
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -8.52%E -6.08%K -21.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -4.30%E -0.662%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -4.32%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.52%E -6.08%K -21.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.30%E -0.662%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.31%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 12:49
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.52%E -6.08%K -21.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.30%E -0.662%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.30%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 12:44
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73%EV -8.52%E -6.08%K -21.30%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.36%EV -13.14%E -2.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.92%EV -9.30%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 12:49
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 63.83%EV -10.48%E -7.65%K -28.32%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.34%EV -16.08%E -2.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -16.28%E -3.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-11 12:04
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 63.60%EV -10.48%E -7.65%K -28.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.14%EV -20.50%E -3.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.26%EV -14.28%E -3.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-11 12:04
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.13%E -8.19%K -30.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.67%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.30%E -2.29%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 12:44
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 62.91%EV -12.44%E -9.28%K -36.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.53%EV -24.92%E -4.89%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.56%EV -18.27%E -4.46%K -5.89%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-11 12:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.