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Shanghai Shenhua FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)
Prediction 63.69%1.57fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -10.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.60%63.65%63.57%65.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.33%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit)
Prediction 16.48%6.07fair odd
EV +5.47%
Edge +0.854%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.055%
assuming max odds 6.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.50%16.51%16.57%18.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.675.536.4020.83%17.65%18.08%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.84%5.04fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.573%
Kelly -0.720%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.19%19.83%19.86%20.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.614.604.9023.09%21.69%21.74%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 63.69%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit): 16.48%; Draw: 19.84%. For Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.07. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:53 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| betPARX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:53 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV +2.99%E +0.479%K +0.570%G +0.017% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.91%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.90%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -12.11%E -8.78%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -12.11%E -8.78%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.33%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -1.13%E -0.188%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -1.13%E -0.188%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 11:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.23%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -1.95%E -0.328%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.69%EV -3.60%E -0.741%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.81%E -0.573%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.81%E -0.573%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.92%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 11:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 11:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| GTbets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.84%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.50%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.65%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.50%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.56%EV -7.72%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.83%EV -8.38%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 11:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 11:22 |
| betano_uk | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 11:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 11:15 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| BetUS | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.76%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.76%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.08%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.57%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -14.31%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -15.96%E -3.13%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -17.61%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.06%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |