Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shanghai Shenhua FC 0–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prévision 63.69%1.57cote équitable
EV -5.11%
Avantage -3.43%
Kelly -10.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.60%63.65%63.57%65.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.33%69.44%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.48%6.07cote équitable
EV +5.47%
Avantage +0.854%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.055%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.50%16.51%16.57%18.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.675.536.4020.83%17.65%18.08%15.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.84%5.04cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -0.573%
Kelly -0.720%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.19%19.83%19.86%20.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.614.604.9023.09%21.69%21.74%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local) : 63.69% ; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visiteur) : 16.48% ; Match nul : 19.84%. Pour Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.07. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.40, soit une espérance positive de +5.47%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:53
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:53
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV +2.99%E +0.479%K +0.570%G +0.017%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.91%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.90%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -12.11%E -8.78%K -31.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -12.11%E -8.78%K -31.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 22:54
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.33%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -1.13%E -0.188%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -1.13%E -0.188%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.23%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -1.95%E -0.328%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.69%EV -3.60%E -0.741%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.81%E -0.573%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.81%E -0.573%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 11:25
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.92%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 11:14
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:00
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 11:25
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 11:30
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.84%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.50%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.65%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.50%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.56%EV -7.72%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 11:25
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.83%EV -8.38%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:30
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:15
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:22
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:29
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 11:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 11:15
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:25
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.76%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.76%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.08%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.57%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -14.31%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -15.96%E -3.13%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -17.61%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.06%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-07-18 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-07-18 11:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%2.8%2026-07-18 11:30