La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shanghai Shenhua FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)
Predicción 63.69%1.57momio equitativo
EV -5.11%
Ventaja -3.43%
Kelly -10.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.60%63.65%63.57%65.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.33%69.44%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visitante)
Predicción 16.48%6.07momio equitativo
EV +5.47%
Ventaja +0.854%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.055%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.50%16.51%16.57%18.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.675.536.4020.83%17.65%18.08%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.84%5.04momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -0.573%
Kelly -0.720%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.19%19.83%19.86%20.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.614.604.9023.09%21.69%21.74%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:53 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| betPARX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 22:53 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV +2.99%E +0.479%K +0.570%G +0.017% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.91%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.90%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -12.11%E -8.78%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -12.11%E -8.78%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.33%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -1.13%E -0.188%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -1.13%E -0.188%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 11:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.23%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -1.95%E -0.328%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.69%EV -3.60%E -0.741%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.81%E -0.573%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.81%E -0.573%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.92%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 11:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 11:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| GTbets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.84%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.50%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.65%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.50%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.56%EV -7.72%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.83%EV -8.38%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 11:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 11:22 |
| betano_uk | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 11:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 11:15 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| BetUS | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.76%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.76%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.08%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.57%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -14.31%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -15.96%E -3.13%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -17.61%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.06%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 11:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-07-18 11:30 |