مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

البداية: 2026-07-18 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shanghai Shenhua FC 0–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.69%1.57السعر العادل
EV -5.11%
الأفضلية -3.43%
Kelly -10.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.60%63.65%63.57%65.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.33%69.44%67.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.48%6.07السعر العادل
EV +5.47%
الأفضلية +0.854%
Kelly +1.01%
النمو +0.055%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.50%16.51%16.57%18.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.675.536.4020.83%17.65%18.08%15.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.84%5.04السعر العادل
EV -2.81%
الأفضلية -0.573%
Kelly -0.720%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.19%19.83%19.86%20.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.334.614.604.9023.09%21.69%21.74%20.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:53
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:53
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV +2.99%E +0.479%K +0.570%G +0.017%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.91%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.90%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -12.11%E -8.78%K -31.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 22:54
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -12.11%E -8.78%K -31.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 22:54
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.33%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -1.13%E -0.188%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -1.13%E -0.188%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 11:20
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.23%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -1.95%E -0.328%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.69%EV -3.60%E -0.741%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.81%E -0.573%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 11:25
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.81%E -0.573%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 11:25
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.92%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 11:14
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 11:25
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 11:30
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 63.84%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.50%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.65%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:25
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.50%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.56%EV -7.72%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 11:25
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.83%EV -8.38%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:30
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:15
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:22
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:29
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 11:25
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 11:15
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:25
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.76%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:30
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.76%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:30
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 63.08%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 11:29
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.57%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -14.31%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -15.96%E -3.13%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -17.61%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.06%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-18 11:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-07-18 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-07-18 11:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%2.8%2026-07-18 11:30