La scuola delle quote

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Inizio: 2026-07-18 11:35 UTC

Finale: Shanghai Shenhua FC 0–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Casa)

Previsione 63.69%1.57quota equa
EV -5.11%
Vantaggio -3.43%
Kelly -10.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.60%63.65%63.57%65.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.33%69.44%67.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.48%6.07quota equa
EV +5.47%
Vantaggio +0.854%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescita +0.055%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.50%16.51%16.57%18.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.675.536.4020.83%17.65%18.08%15.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.84%5.04quota equa
EV -2.81%
Vantaggio -0.573%
Kelly -0.720%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.19%19.83%19.86%20.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.614.604.9023.09%21.69%21.74%20.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:53
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:54
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +5.47%E +0.854%K +1.01%G +0.055%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:53
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV +2.99%E +0.479%K +0.570%G +0.017%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.91%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.90%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -12.11%E -8.78%K -31.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 22:54
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -12.11%E -8.78%K -31.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV +0.522%E +0.086%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 22:54
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.33%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -1.13%E -0.188%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -1.13%E -0.188%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 11:20
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.23%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -1.95%E -0.328%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.69%EV -3.60%E -0.741%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.81%E -0.573%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 11:25
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.81%E -0.573%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 11:25
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.92%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -2.77%E -0.470%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 11:14
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 11:25
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -5.25%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.72%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 11:30
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 63.84%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.50%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.65%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:25
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.50%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.56%EV -7.72%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 11:25
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.83%EV -8.38%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:30
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:15
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:22
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:29
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 11:25
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:25
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.37%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 11:15
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:25
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.76%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:30
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.76%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:30
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 63.08%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -12.66%E -2.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 11:29
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.57%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -14.31%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -15.96%E -3.13%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -17.61%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.06%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -20.90%E -4.35%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-07-18 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-07-18 11:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%2.8%2026-07-18 11:30