A Escola das Odds

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Início: 2026-05-01 12:00 UTC

Final: Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Previsão 47.71%2.10odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.25%47.74%47.70%48.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.941.952.0455.56%51.64%51.28%49.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)

Previsão 27.81%3.60odd justa
EV -0.709%
Vantagem -0.199%
Kelly -0.276%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.91%27.77%27.81%28.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.303.303.5733.33%30.27%30.30%28.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.48%4.09odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -0.523%
Kelly -0.697%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.16%24.49%24.49%26.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.723.704.0031.25%26.86%27.03%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.01%EV -5.99%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 07:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 07:55
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%EV -0.709%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.73%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:55
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.99%EV -1.54%E -0.436%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 07:55
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.20%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 07:55
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:55
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:55
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 07:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 07:54
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 07:54
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:53
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:55
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:53
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 07:54
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.04%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 07:53
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.04%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 07:55
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.53%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -4.32%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 07:54
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 07:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 07:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 07:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -11.26%E -6.05%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -11.74%E -6.34%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.11%E -3.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -21.67%E -6.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-01 07:54
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -14.12%E -7.85%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.81%-0.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-01 07:54