مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

البداية: 2026-05-01 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.71%2.10السعر العادل
EV -2.67%
الأفضلية -1.31%
Kelly -2.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.25%47.74%47.70%48.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.941.952.0455.56%51.64%51.28%49.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.81%3.60السعر العادل
EV -0.709%
الأفضلية -0.199%
Kelly -0.276%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.91%27.77%27.81%28.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.303.303.5733.33%30.27%30.30%28.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.48%4.09السعر العادل
EV -2.09%
الأفضلية -0.523%
Kelly -0.697%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.16%24.49%24.49%26.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.723.704.0031.25%26.86%27.03%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.01%EV -5.99%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 07:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 07:55
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%EV -0.709%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.73%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:55
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.99%EV -1.54%E -0.436%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 07:55
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.20%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 07:55
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:55
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:55
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 07:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 07:54
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 07:54
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:53
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:55
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:53
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 07:54
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.04%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 07:53
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.04%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 07:55
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.53%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -4.32%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 07:54
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 07:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 07:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 07:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -11.26%E -6.05%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -11.74%E -6.34%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.11%E -3.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -21.67%E -6.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-01 07:54
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -14.12%E -7.85%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 07:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.81%-0.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-01 07:54