La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Shanghai Shenhua FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Shanghai Shenhua FC (Casa)
Previsione 47.71%2.10quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.25%47.74%47.70%48.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.941.952.0455.56%51.64%51.28%49.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.81%3.60quota equa
EV -0.709%
Vantaggio -0.199%
Kelly -0.276%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.57
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.91%27.77%27.81%28.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.303.303.5733.33%30.27%30.30%28.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 24.48%4.09quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.523%
Kelly -0.697%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.16%24.49%24.49%26.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.723.704.0031.25%26.86%27.03%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.01%EV -5.99%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%EV -0.709%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.73%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.99%EV -1.54%E -0.436%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.20%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.04%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.04%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.53%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -4.32%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -11.26%E -6.05%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -11.74%E -6.34%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.11%E -3.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -21.67%E -6.77%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -14.12%E -7.85%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.81% | -0.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |