La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shanghai Shenhua FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)
Predicción 47.71%2.10momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.25%47.74%47.70%48.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.941.952.0455.56%51.64%51.28%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)
Predicción 27.81%3.60momio equitativo
EV -0.709%
Ventaja -0.199%
Kelly -0.276%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.91%27.77%27.81%28.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.303.5733.33%30.27%30.30%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.48%4.09momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.523%
Kelly -0.697%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.16%24.49%24.49%26.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.723.704.0031.25%26.86%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.01%EV -5.99%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%EV -0.709%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.73%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.99%EV -1.54%E -0.436%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.20%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.04%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.04%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.53%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -4.32%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -11.26%E -6.05%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -11.74%E -6.34%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.11%E -3.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -21.67%E -6.77%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -14.12%E -7.85%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.81% | -0.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |