Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 12:00 UTC

Score final : Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prévision 47.71%2.10cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.25%47.74%47.70%48.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.941.952.0455.56%51.64%51.28%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.81%3.60cote équitable
EV -0.709%
Avantage -0.199%
Kelly -0.276%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.91%27.77%27.81%28.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.303.303.5733.33%30.27%30.30%28.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.48%4.09cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.523%
Kelly -0.697%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.16%24.49%24.49%26.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.723.704.0031.25%26.86%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local) : 47.71% ; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur) : 27.81% ; Match nul : 24.48%. Pour Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.60. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.57, pour une espérance de -0.709% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.01%EV -5.99%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 07:54
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 07:55
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%EV -0.709%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.73%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:55
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.99%EV -1.54%E -0.436%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 07:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.20%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 07:55
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:55
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:55
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 07:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 07:54
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 07:54
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:53
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:55
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:55
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.04%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 07:53
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.04%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 07:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.53%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -4.32%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 07:54
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 07:55
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 07:55
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.09%E -0.523%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 07:55
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -11.26%E -6.05%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -11.74%E -6.34%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.11%E -3.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -21.67%E -6.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-01 07:54
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -14.12%E -7.85%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.81%-0.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-01 07:54