Language:English
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prediction 60.03%1.67fair odd
EV +8.05%
Edge +4.47%
Kelly +10.06%
Growth +0.810%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.00%59.55%60.07%61.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.601.551.8069.44%62.60%64.52%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)
Prediction 18.38%5.44fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.527%
Kelly +0.641%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.64%18.77%18.38%25.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.664.855.6027.78%21.48%20.62%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.59%4.63fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -0.816%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.62%21.68%21.55%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.134.204.5027.78%24.24%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 60.03%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 18.38%; Draw: 21.59%. For Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 07:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 07:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 07:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV +7.45%E +4.16%K +9.43%G +0.703% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV +5.65%E +3.21%K +7.44%G +0.420% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -33.82%E -9.39%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -19.05%E -5.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV +5.65%E +3.21%K +7.44%G +0.420% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -33.82%E -9.39%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -19.05%E -5.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.42%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.32%EV -4.59%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.26%EV -7.82%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.68%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.75%EV -8.26%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.66%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -12.68%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.46%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -15.43%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 11:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -15.43%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 11:07 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.37%EV -6.36%E -4.07%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.31%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.32%EV -3.07%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.36%E -4.07%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -3.48%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -9.00%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.10%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -9.00%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.10%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.16%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -0.726%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.79%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -7.18%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.41%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.24%EV +0.193%E +0.035%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -3.48%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 11:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 11:28 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -4.40%E -0.847%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -13.60%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -10.84%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-17 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -9.36%E -6.20%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV +2.95%E +0.527%K +0.641%G +0.019% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 11:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -22.29%E -6.19%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-17 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.05%EV -10.56%E -7.09%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -19.11%E -4.34%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -11.76%E -8.00%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.88%EV -14.51%E -3.12%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -13.56%E -9.42%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-17 11:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 61.60% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 17.18% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.22% | -1.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.15% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.67% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |