La scuola delle quote

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Inizio: 2026-04-17 11:35 UTC

Finale: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 1–1 Shanghai SIPG FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Casa)

Previsione 60.03%1.67quota equa
EV +8.05%
Vantaggio +4.47%
Kelly +10.06%
Crescita +0.810%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.00%59.55%60.07%61.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.601.551.8069.44%62.60%64.52%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shanghai SIPG FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.38%5.44quota equa
EV +2.95%
Vantaggio +0.527%
Kelly +0.641%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.64%18.77%18.38%25.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.664.855.6027.78%21.48%20.62%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.59%4.63quota equa
EV -2.86%
Vantaggio -0.635%
Kelly -0.816%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.62%21.68%21.55%23.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.134.204.5027.78%24.24%23.81%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 08:00
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 08:00
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 07:59
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 08:00
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 07:59
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 07:59
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 08:00
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV +7.45%E +4.16%K +9.43%G +0.703%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 08:00
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV +5.65%E +3.21%K +7.44%G +0.420%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -33.82%E -9.39%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -19.05%E -5.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV +5.65%E +3.21%K +7.44%G +0.420%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -33.82%E -9.39%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -19.05%E -5.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 08:00
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.42%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.32%EV -4.59%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.26%EV -7.82%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 11:10
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.68%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:09
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.75%EV -8.26%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.66%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 11:29
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -12.68%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 11:10
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 58.46%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -15.43%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 11:09
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -15.43%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:07
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.37%EV -6.36%E -4.07%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.31%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.367%G +0.006%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.32%EV -3.07%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 11:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.36%E -4.07%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -3.48%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 11:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -9.00%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.10%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 11:20
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -9.00%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.10%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 11:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:30
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:29
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 61.16%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -0.726%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 11:29
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.79%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -7.18%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 11:19
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 61.41%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.24%EV +0.193%E +0.035%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 11:29
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -3.48%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 11:18
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:29
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:28
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 11:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 11:29
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 11:09
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -4.40%E -0.847%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -13.60%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 11:19
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -10.84%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 11:20
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -9.36%E -6.20%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV +2.95%E +0.527%K +0.641%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 11:28
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 11:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -22.29%E -6.19%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-17 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.05%EV -10.56%E -7.09%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -19.11%E -4.34%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 11:19
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -11.76%E -8.00%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.88%EV -14.51%E -3.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 11:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -13.56%E -9.42%K -30.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-17 11:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 61.60%5.88I 17.01%NM 17.18%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.22%-1.0%2026-04-17 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.15%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.67%0.3%2026-04-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%1.0%2026-04-17 11:29
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%1.0%2026-04-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-17 11:19