L’École des cotesFrançais
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prévision 60.03%1.67cote équitable
EV +8.05%
Avantage +4.47%
Kelly +10.06%
Croissance +0.810%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.00%59.55%60.07%61.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.601.551.8069.44%62.60%64.52%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.38%5.44cote équitable
EV +2.95%
Avantage +0.527%
Kelly +0.641%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 5.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.64%18.77%18.38%25.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.664.855.6027.78%21.48%20.62%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.59%4.63cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.635%
Kelly -0.816%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.62%21.68%21.55%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.134.204.5027.78%24.24%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 07:59 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 07:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 07:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV +7.45%E +4.16%K +9.43%G +0.703% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV +5.65%E +3.21%K +7.44%G +0.420% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -33.82%E -9.39%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -19.05%E -5.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV +5.65%E +3.21%K +7.44%G +0.420% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -33.82%E -9.39%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -19.05%E -5.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 08:00 |
| GTbets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.42%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.32%EV -4.59%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.26%EV -7.82%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 11:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.68%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.75%EV -8.26%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.66%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -12.68%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.46%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -15.43%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 11:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -15.43%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 11:07 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.37%EV -6.36%E -4.07%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.31%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.32%EV -3.07%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.36%E -4.07%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -3.48%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -9.00%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.10%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 11:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -9.00%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.10%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 11:00 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.16%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -0.726%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.79%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -7.18%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.41%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.24%EV +0.193%E +0.035%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -3.48%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 11:18 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 11:28 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 11:10 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -4.40%E -0.847%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -13.60%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -10.84%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-17 11:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -9.36%E -6.20%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV +2.95%E +0.527%K +0.641%G +0.019% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 11:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -22.29%E -6.19%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-17 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.05%EV -10.56%E -7.09%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -19.11%E -4.34%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -11.76%E -8.00%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.88%EV -14.51%E -3.12%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -13.56%E -9.42%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-17 11:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 61.60% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 17.18% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.22% | -1.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.15% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.67% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |