Школа коэффициентов

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Начало: 2026-04-17 11:35 UTC

Итог: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 1–1 Shanghai SIPG FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Хозяева)

Прогноз 60.03%1.67справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.05%
Преимущество +4.47%
Kelly +10.06%
Рост +0.810%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.00%59.55%60.07%61.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.441.601.551.8069.44%62.60%64.52%55.56%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Shanghai SIPG FC (Гости)

Прогноз 18.38%5.44справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.95%
Преимущество +0.527%
Kelly +0.641%
Рост +0.019%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.64%18.77%18.38%25.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.664.855.6027.78%21.48%20.62%17.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 21.59%4.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.86%
Преимущество -0.635%
Kelly -0.816%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.62%21.68%21.55%23.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.134.204.5027.78%24.24%23.81%22.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 08:00
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 08:00
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 07:59
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 08:00
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 07:59
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 07:59
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 08:00
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV +8.05%E +4.47%K +10.06%G +0.810%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV +7.45%E +4.16%K +9.43%G +0.703%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -32.90%E -9.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -16.89%E -4.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 08:00
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV +5.65%E +3.21%K +7.44%G +0.420%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -33.82%E -9.39%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -19.05%E -5.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV +5.65%E +3.21%K +7.44%G +0.420%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -33.82%E -9.39%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -19.05%E -5.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 08:00
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.42%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.32%EV -4.59%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.26%EV -7.82%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 11:10
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.68%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:09
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.75%EV -8.26%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.66%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 11:29
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -12.68%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 11:10
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 58.46%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -15.43%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 11:09
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -5.75%E -3.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -15.43%E -3.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:07
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.37%EV -6.36%E -4.07%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.31%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.367%G +0.006%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.32%EV -3.07%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 11:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.36%E -4.07%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -3.48%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 11:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -9.00%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.10%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 11:20
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -9.00%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.10%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 11:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -6.96%E -4.49%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:30
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:29
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 61.16%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -0.726%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 11:29
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.79%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -7.18%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 11:19
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 61.41%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.24%EV +0.193%E +0.035%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 11:29
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -3.48%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 11:18
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:29
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:28
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 11:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 11:29
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.16%E -5.33%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 11:09
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -4.40%E -0.847%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -13.60%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 11:19
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -8.76%E -5.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -10.84%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 11:20
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -9.36%E -6.20%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV +2.95%E +0.527%K +0.641%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 11:28
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +1.11%E +0.202%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 11:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -9.96%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -22.29%E -6.19%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-17 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.05%EV -10.56%E -7.09%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -19.11%E -4.34%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 11:19
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.71%EV -11.76%E -8.00%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.88%EV -14.51%E -3.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 11:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -13.56%E -9.42%K -30.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-17 11:09
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 61.60%5.88I 17.01%NM 17.18%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.22%-1.0%2026-04-17 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.15%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.67%0.3%2026-04-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%1.0%2026-04-17 11:29
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%1.0%2026-04-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-17 11:19