Language:English
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prediction 69.67%1.44fair odd
EV +0.319%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.725%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%69.43%69.86%71.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.331.4478.13%74.82%75.19%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)
Prediction 12.06%8.29fair odd
EV +3.48%
Edge +0.405%
Kelly +0.459%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 8.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.65%12.18%11.87%14.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.597.508.5815.38%13.17%13.33%11.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.27%5.47fair odd
EV +0.506%
Edge +0.092%
Kelly +0.112%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.14%18.39%18.27%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.945.005.5023.81%20.26%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 69.67%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 12.06%; Draw: 18.27%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.29. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.34%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 8.58I 11.66%NM 10.89%EV +3.48%E +0.405%K +0.459%G +0.016% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.77%EV -3.88%E -0.738%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.33%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -2.24%E -0.418%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -11.37%E -2.34%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.35%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -1.32%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.35%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -1.32%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.04%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.506%E +0.092%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -4.98%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -5.93%E -0.760%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -10.46%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.90%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -6.53%E -0.843%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.98%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.87%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 7.67I 13.04%NM 12.21%EV -7.50%E -0.978%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -9.54%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -15.94%E -3.47%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.71%EV -11.96%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -5.89%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.71%EV -11.96%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -5.89%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -13.17%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -3.15%E -0.594%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -15.94%E -3.47%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -12.29%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -12.29%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -23.25%E -5.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 11:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.32%EV +0.319%E +0.222%K +0.725%G +0.002% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.02%EV -17.87%E -2.62%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.65%EV -11.19%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.59%E -2.75%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.83%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -21.61%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.87% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.45% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |