La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Predicción 69.67%1.44momio equitativo
EV +0.319%
Ventaja +0.222%
Kelly +0.725%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.85%69.43%69.86%71.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.341.331.4478.13%74.82%75.19%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)
Predicción 12.06%8.29momio equitativo
EV +3.48%
Ventaja +0.405%
Kelly +0.459%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.65%12.18%11.87%14.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.597.508.5815.38%13.17%13.33%11.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.27%5.47momio equitativo
EV +0.506%
Ventaja +0.092%
Kelly +0.112%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.14%18.39%18.27%20.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.945.005.5023.81%20.26%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.34%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 8.58I 11.66%NM 10.89%EV +3.48%E +0.405%K +0.459%G +0.016% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.77%EV -3.88%E -0.738%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.33%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -2.24%E -0.418%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -11.37%E -2.34%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.35%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -1.32%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.35%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -1.32%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.04%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.506%E +0.092%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -4.98%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -5.93%E -0.760%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -10.46%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.90%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -6.53%E -0.843%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.98%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.87%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 7.67I 13.04%NM 12.21%EV -7.50%E -0.978%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -9.54%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -15.94%E -3.47%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.71%EV -11.96%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -5.89%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.71%EV -11.96%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -5.89%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -13.17%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -3.15%E -0.594%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -15.94%E -3.47%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -12.29%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -12.29%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -23.25%E -5.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 11:28 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.32%EV +0.319%E +0.222%K +0.725%G +0.002% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.02%EV -17.87%E -2.62%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.65%EV -11.19%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.59%E -2.75%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.83%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -21.61%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.87% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.45% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |