L’École des cotesFrançais
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prévision 69.67%1.44cote équitable
EV +0.319%
Avantage +0.222%
Kelly +0.725%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.85%69.43%69.86%71.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.341.331.4478.13%74.82%75.19%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.06%8.29cote équitable
EV +3.48%
Avantage +0.405%
Kelly +0.459%
Croissance +0.016%
avec la cote maximale 8.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.65%12.18%11.87%14.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.597.508.5815.38%13.17%13.33%11.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.27%5.47cote équitable
EV +0.506%
Avantage +0.092%
Kelly +0.112%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.14%18.39%18.27%20.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.945.005.5023.81%20.26%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.34%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 8.58I 11.66%NM 10.89%EV +3.48%E +0.405%K +0.459%G +0.016% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.77%EV -3.88%E -0.738%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.33%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -2.24%E -0.418%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -11.37%E -2.34%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.35%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -1.32%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.35%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -1.32%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.04%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.506%E +0.092%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -4.98%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -5.93%E -0.760%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -10.46%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.90%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -6.53%E -0.843%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.98%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.87%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 7.67I 13.04%NM 12.21%EV -7.50%E -0.978%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -9.54%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -15.94%E -3.47%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.71%EV -11.96%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -5.89%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.71%EV -11.96%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -5.89%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -13.17%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -3.15%E -0.594%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -15.94%E -3.47%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -12.29%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -12.29%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -23.25%E -5.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 11:28 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.32%EV +0.319%E +0.222%K +0.725%G +0.002% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.02%EV -17.87%E -2.62%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.65%EV -11.19%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.59%E -2.75%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.83%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -21.61%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.87% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.45% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |