La scuola delle quote

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Inizio: 2026-05-16 11:35 UTC

Finale: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 3–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Casa)

Previsione 69.67%1.44quota equa
EV +0.319%
Vantaggio +0.222%
Kelly +0.725%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.85%69.43%69.86%71.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.341.331.4478.13%74.82%75.19%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.06%8.29quota equa
EV +3.48%
Vantaggio +0.405%
Kelly +0.459%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.65%12.18%11.87%14.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.597.508.5815.38%13.17%13.33%11.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.27%5.47quota equa
EV +0.506%
Vantaggio +0.092%
Kelly +0.112%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.14%18.39%18.27%20.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.945.005.5023.81%20.26%20.00%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.34%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000%8.58I 11.66%NM 10.89%EV +3.48%E +0.405%K +0.459%G +0.016%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.77%EV -3.88%E -0.738%K -0.911%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.33%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -2.24%E -0.418%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:29
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -11.37%E -2.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:30
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 71.35%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -1.32%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 71.35%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -1.32%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.04%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:30
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.506%E +0.092%K +0.112%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-16 11:30
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:29
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:30
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -4.98%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -5.93%E -0.760%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -10.46%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 69.90%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -6.53%E -0.843%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.98%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:30
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 68.87%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.67I 13.04%NM 12.21%EV -7.50%E -0.978%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -9.54%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:30
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -15.94%E -3.47%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 11:25
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.71%EV -11.96%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -5.89%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.71%EV -11.96%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -5.89%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -13.17%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -3.15%E -0.594%K -0.732%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -15.94%E -3.47%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -12.29%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -12.29%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:30
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -23.25%E -5.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 11:28
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.32%EV +0.319%E +0.222%K +0.725%G +0.002%6.81I 14.68%NM 14.02%EV -17.87%E -2.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.65%EV -11.19%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 11:20
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.59%E -2.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.83%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -21.61%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%0.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%0.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.87%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.45%3.1%2026-05-16 11:30