مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

البداية: 2026-05-16 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 3–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 69.67%1.44السعر العادل
EV +0.319%
الأفضلية +0.222%
Kelly +0.725%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.85%69.43%69.86%71.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.281.341.331.4478.13%74.82%75.19%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.06%8.29السعر العادل
EV +3.48%
الأفضلية +0.405%
Kelly +0.459%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.65%12.18%11.87%14.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.597.508.5815.38%13.17%13.33%11.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.27%5.47السعر العادل
EV +0.506%
الأفضلية +0.092%
Kelly +0.112%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.14%18.39%18.27%20.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.945.005.5023.81%20.26%20.00%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.34%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000%8.58I 11.66%NM 10.89%EV +3.48%E +0.405%K +0.459%G +0.016%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.77%EV -3.88%E -0.738%K -0.911%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.33%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -2.24%E -0.418%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:29
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV +2.51%E +0.295%K +0.335%G +0.008%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -11.37%E -2.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:30
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 71.35%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -1.32%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 71.35%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -1.32%E -0.245%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.04%EV +1.31%E +0.155%K +0.176%G +0.002%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:30
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.506%E +0.092%K +0.112%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-16 11:30
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:29
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:30
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -3.52%E -0.440%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -4.98%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -5.93%E -0.760%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -10.46%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 69.90%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -6.53%E -0.843%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.98%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:30
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 68.87%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.67I 13.04%NM 12.21%EV -7.50%E -0.978%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -9.54%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.06%E -0.774%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -14.11%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:30
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -15.94%E -3.47%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.55%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 11:25
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.71%EV -11.96%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -5.89%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.71%EV -11.96%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -5.89%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -13.17%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -3.15%E -0.594%K -0.732%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -15.94%E -3.47%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -12.29%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -12.29%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:30
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.20%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -9.43%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -15.58%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -23.25%E -5.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 11:28
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.32%EV +0.319%E +0.222%K +0.725%G +0.002%6.81I 14.68%NM 14.02%EV -17.87%E -2.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.65%EV -11.19%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 11:20
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.59%E -2.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -17.77%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.83%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -21.61%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 11:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%0.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%0.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.87%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.45%3.1%2026-05-16 11:30