Language:English
Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV +0.415%
Edge +0.123%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.74%29.81%29.66%32.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.103.153.3735.71%32.23%31.75%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)
Prediction 41.33%2.42fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.47%41.36%41.42%43.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.202.3350.00%45.48%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.87%3.46fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.71%28.83%28.92%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.25%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 29.80%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 41.33%; Draw: 28.87%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.415%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV +0.415%E +0.123%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.11%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.93%EV -0.777%E -0.233%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.34%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.67%E -0.506%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.83%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.25%EV -9.48%E -4.33%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 10:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.94%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 10:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.94%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -6.18%E -2.72%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 10:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.85%E -7.21%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.85%E -7.21%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.84%E -0.541%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -11.94%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 10:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 10:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -17.33%E -8.67%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -15.08%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.04%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |