مدرسة الاحتمالات

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

البداية: 2026-05-02 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Qingdao Hainiu FC 3–1 Shanghai SIPG FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.80%3.36السعر العادل
EV +0.415%
الأفضلية +0.123%
Kelly +0.175%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.74%29.81%29.66%32.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.103.153.3735.71%32.23%31.75%29.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shanghai SIPG FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.33%2.42السعر العادل
EV -3.70%
الأفضلية -1.59%
Kelly -2.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.47%41.36%41.42%43.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.202.202.3350.00%45.48%45.45%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.87%3.46السعر العادل
EV -1.84%
الأفضلية -0.541%
Kelly -0.766%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.71%28.83%28.92%30.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.25%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV +0.415%E +0.123%K +0.175%G +0.001%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.11%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 28.93%EV -0.777%E -0.233%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.34%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 10:45
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.67%E -0.506%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:35
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 10:55
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 10:55
GTbets3.21I 31.15%NM 28.83%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.25%EV -9.48%E -4.33%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:40
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 10:35
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.94%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:48
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.94%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:50
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 10:45
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 10:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:40
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -6.18%E -2.72%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 10:54
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.85%E -7.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 10:30
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.85%E -7.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 10:30
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.84%E -0.541%K -0.766%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 10:30
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -11.94%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 10:34
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:50
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 10:50
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 10:50
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 10:55
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:54
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:30
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:56
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 10:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -17.33%E -8.67%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 10:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 10:50
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -15.08%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.04%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 10:50
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-02 10:50