La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Predicción 29.80%3.36momio equitativo
EV +0.415%
Ventaja +0.123%
Kelly +0.175%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.74%29.81%29.66%32.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.103.153.3735.71%32.23%31.75%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)
Predicción 41.33%2.42momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.47%41.36%41.42%43.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.202.202.3350.00%45.48%45.45%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.87%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.541%
Kelly -0.766%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.71%28.83%28.92%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.25%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV +0.415%E +0.123%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.11%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.93%EV -0.777%E -0.233%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.34%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.67%E -0.506%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| GTbets | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.83%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.25%EV -9.48%E -4.33%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 10:35 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.94%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 10:48 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.94%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -6.18%E -2.72%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 10:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.85%E -7.21%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.85%E -7.21%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.84%E -0.541%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -11.94%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 10:34 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:54 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 10:56 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -17.33%E -8.67%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -15.08%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.04%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |