StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Matchstart: 2026-05-02 11:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Qingdao Hainiu FC 3–1 Shanghai SIPG FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Hemma)

Prognos 29.80%3.36rättvist odds
EV +0.415%
Fördel +0.123%
Kelly +0.175%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.37

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.74%29.81%29.66%32.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.103.153.3735.71%32.23%31.75%29.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai SIPG FC (Borta)

Prognos 41.33%2.42rättvist odds
EV -3.70%
Fördel -1.59%
Kelly -2.78%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.47%41.36%41.42%43.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.202.202.3350.00%45.48%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.87%3.46rättvist odds
EV -1.84%
Fördel -0.541%
Kelly -0.766%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.71%28.83%28.92%30.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.25%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Hemma): 29.80%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Borta): 41.33%; Oavgjort: 28.87%. För Qingdao Hainiu FC (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.36. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.37, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.415%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV +0.415%E +0.123%K +0.175%G +0.001%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.11%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.93%EV -0.777%E -0.233%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.34%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 10:45
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.67%E -0.506%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 10:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 10:55
GTbets🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 28.83%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.25%EV -9.48%E -4.33%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:40
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 10:35
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.94%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:48
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.94%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:50
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 10:45
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:40
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -6.18%E -2.72%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.85%E -7.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.85%E -7.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 10:30
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.84%E -0.541%K -0.766%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -11.94%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 10:34
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:50
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 10:50
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 10:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:54
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:30
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:56
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 10:55
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -17.33%E -8.67%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -15.08%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.04%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 10:50
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-02 10:50