A Escola das Odds

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Início: 2026-05-02 11:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao Hainiu FC 3–1 Shanghai SIPG FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Previsão 29.80%3.36odd justa
EV +0.415%
Vantagem +0.123%
Kelly +0.175%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.74%29.81%29.66%32.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.103.153.3735.71%32.23%31.75%29.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)

Previsão 41.33%2.42odd justa
EV -3.70%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.47%41.36%41.42%43.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.202.202.3350.00%45.48%45.45%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.87%3.46odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -0.541%
Kelly -0.766%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.71%28.83%28.92%30.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.25%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV +0.415%E +0.123%K +0.175%G +0.001%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.11%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 28.93%EV -0.777%E -0.233%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.34%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 10:45
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.67%E -0.506%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:35
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 10:55
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.16%E -0.973%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 10:55
GTbets3.21I 31.15%NM 28.83%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.25%EV -9.48%E -4.33%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:40
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 10:35
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.94%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:48
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.94%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:50
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 10:45
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 10:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:40
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:30
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -6.18%E -2.72%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 10:54
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.85%E -7.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 10:30
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.85%E -7.21%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 10:30
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.84%E -0.541%K -0.766%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 10:30
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -11.94%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 10:34
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:50
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 10:50
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 10:50
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 10:55
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:54
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:30
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:56
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 10:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -17.33%E -8.67%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 10:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 10:50
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -15.08%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.04%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 10:50
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-02 10:50