The School of Odds

Liaoning Tieren FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

2026-08-02 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.39%27.95%27.80%29.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.263.303.4833.90%30.69%30.30%28.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)

Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.89%47.77%47.80%48.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.951.9855.56%51.84%51.28%50.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.31%4.11fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.692%
Kelly -0.923%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.02%24.28%24.40%25.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.763.754.0028.99%26.60%26.67%25.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.43%EV -2.92%E -0.839%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.21%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.35%EV -4.71%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 12:30
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.45%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.16%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 12:55
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -8.23%E -4.29%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 12:25
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 11:50
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 12:10
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 12:15
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -7.75%E -4.02%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 12:10
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 12:45
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 12:45
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 12:45
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 12:45
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.03%EV -7.28%E -3.75%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.923%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 12:15
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 12:25
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.71%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.923%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 12:10
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.39%EV -7.28%E -3.75%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -6.42%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 12:05
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 12:13
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -9.19%E -4.84%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 12:05
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.29%EV -12.06%E -6.55%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.17%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-26 12:10
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 28.62%EV -17.71%E -6.00%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.91%EV -13.97%E -7.76%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.47%EV -16.14%E -4.68%K -6.59%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-26 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.