Language:English
Liaoning Tieren FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prediction 18.52%5.40fair odd
EV +7.40%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.114%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.93%18.42%18.59%19.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.105.005.8022.22%19.60%20.00%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)
Prediction 62.28%1.61fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -7.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.32%62.29%62.24%65.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.481.481.5472.46%67.77%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.20%5.21fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -0.897%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.46%19.29%19.17%20.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.774.805.0222.22%20.96%20.83%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 18.52%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 62.28%; Draw: 19.20%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.40. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.16%EV -11.56%E -8.14%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV +6.47%E +1.13%K +1.36%G +0.088% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -12.18%E -8.64%K -29.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV +3.69%E +0.660%K +0.803%G +0.030% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -14.05%E -10.18%K -36.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV +3.69%E +0.660%K +0.803%G +0.030% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -14.05%E -10.18%K -36.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 11:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.64%E -0.901%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.67%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.61%EV -4.82%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.11%EV -4.09%E -2.65%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.28%EV -4.76%E -0.959%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -5.56%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.09%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.66%EV -7.23%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.04%EV -5.72%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.50%EV -7.23%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.04%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.46%EV -3.60%E -0.718%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -3.99%E -0.798%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.49%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.34%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.34%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.10%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.84%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.39%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.97%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -14.82%E -3.22%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.67%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.67%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
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