StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Liaoning Tieren FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-02 11:35 UTC

Endstand: Liaoning Tieren FC 3–1 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Liaoning Tieren FC (Heim)

Prognose 18.52%5.40faire Quote
EV +7.40%
Vorteil +1.28%
Kelly +1.54%
Wachstum +0.114%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.93%18.42%18.59%19.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.105.005.8022.22%19.60%20.00%17.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 62.28%1.61faire Quote
EV -4.09%
Vorteil -2.65%
Kelly -7.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.32%62.29%62.24%65.16%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.381.481.481.5472.46%67.77%67.57%64.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 19.20%5.21faire Quote
EV -3.60%
Vorteil -0.718%
Kelly -0.897%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.02

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.46%19.29%19.17%20.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.504.774.805.0222.22%20.96%20.83%19.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Liaoning Tieren FC (Heim): 18.52%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Auswärts): 62.28%; Unentschieden: 19.20%. Für Liaoning Tieren FC (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.40. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.80 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.40%.

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:25
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:24
Unibet (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:24
Grosvenor🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:25
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:25
betPARX🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:24
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.16%EV -11.56%E -8.14%K -27.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV +6.47%E +1.13%K +1.36%G +0.088%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -12.18%E -8.64%K -29.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV +3.69%E +0.660%K +0.803%G +0.030%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -14.05%E -10.18%K -36.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV +3.69%E +0.660%K +0.803%G +0.030%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -14.05%E -10.18%K -36.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 10:25
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:30
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:17
Marathon Bet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.64%E -0.901%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.67%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 11:25
Pinnacle🎯5.14I 19.46%NM 18.61%EV -4.82%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.11%EV -4.09%E -2.65%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.28%EV -4.76%E -0.959%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 11:29
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -5.56%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.09%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:20
1xBet🎯5.01I 19.96%NM 18.66%EV -7.23%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.04%EV -5.72%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 11:30
GTbets🎯5.01I 19.96%NM 18.50%EV -7.23%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.04%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.46%EV -3.60%E -0.718%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 11:20
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -3.99%E -0.798%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.49%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:19
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:19
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 11:30
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 11:30
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.34%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 11:20
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.34%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 11:20
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 11:29
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.10%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:20
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.84%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:19
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:20
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:19
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:19
LeoVegas🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 11:29
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:29
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.39%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 11:25
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.97%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -14.82%E -3.22%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 11:20
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.67%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.67%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 11:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-02 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-02 11:30
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-08-02 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-08-02 11:30
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%2.1%2026-08-02 11:30