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Liaoning Tieren FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Predicción 18.52%5.40momio equitativo
EV +7.40%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +1.54%
Crecimiento +0.114%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.93%18.42%18.59%19.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.105.005.8022.22%19.60%20.00%17.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)
Predicción 62.28%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -2.65%
Kelly -7.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.32%62.29%62.24%65.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.481.481.5472.46%67.77%67.57%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.20%5.21momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -0.897%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.46%19.29%19.17%20.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.774.805.0222.22%20.96%20.83%19.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 18.52%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante): 62.28%; Empate: 19.20%. Para Liaoning Tieren FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.40. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.16%EV -11.56%E -8.14%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV +6.47%E +1.13%K +1.36%G +0.088% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -12.18%E -8.64%K -29.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV +3.69%E +0.660%K +0.803%G +0.030% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -14.05%E -10.18%K -36.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV +3.69%E +0.660%K +0.803%G +0.030% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -14.05%E -10.18%K -36.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 11:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.64%E -0.901%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.67%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.61%EV -4.82%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.11%EV -4.09%E -2.65%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.28%EV -4.76%E -0.959%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -5.56%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.09%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.66%EV -7.23%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.04%EV -5.72%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.50%EV -7.23%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.04%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.46%EV -3.60%E -0.718%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -3.99%E -0.798%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.49%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.34%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.34%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.10%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.84%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.39%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.97%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -14.82%E -3.22%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.67%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.67%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |