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Liaoning Tieren FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Liaoning Tieren FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 18.52%5.40справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.40%
Преимущество +1.28%
Kelly +1.54%
Рост +0.114%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.93%18.42%18.59%19.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.105.005.8022.22%19.60%20.00%17.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Гости)
Прогноз 62.28%1.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.09%
Преимущество -2.65%
Kelly -7.57%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.32%62.29%62.24%65.16%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.381.481.481.5472.46%67.77%67.57%64.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 19.20%5.21справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.60%
Преимущество -0.718%
Kelly -0.897%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.02
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.46%19.29%19.17%20.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.504.774.805.0222.22%20.96%20.83%19.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Liaoning Tieren FC (Хозяева): 18.52%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Гости): 62.28%; Ничья: 19.20%. Для исхода «Liaoning Tieren FC (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.40. 10 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +7.40%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.16%EV -11.56%E -8.14%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV +6.47%E +1.13%K +1.36%G +0.088% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -12.18%E -8.64%K -29.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV +3.69%E +0.660%K +0.803%G +0.030% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -14.05%E -10.18%K -36.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV +3.69%E +0.660%K +0.803%G +0.030% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -14.05%E -10.18%K -36.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 11:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.64%E -0.901%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.67%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.61%EV -4.82%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.11%EV -4.09%E -2.65%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.28%EV -4.76%E -0.959%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -5.56%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.09%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.66%EV -7.23%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.04%EV -5.72%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.50%EV -7.23%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.04%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.46%EV -3.60%E -0.718%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -3.99%E -0.798%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.49%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.34%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.34%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.10%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.84%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.39%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.97%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -14.82%E -3.22%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.67%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.67%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 11:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |