Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liaoning Tieren FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Início: 2026-08-02 11:35 UTC

Final: Liaoning Tieren FC 3–1 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Previsão 18.52%5.40odd justa
EV +7.40%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +1.54%
Crescimento +0.114%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.93%18.42%18.59%19.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.105.005.8022.22%19.60%20.00%17.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)

Previsão 62.28%1.61odd justa
EV -4.09%
Vantagem -2.65%
Kelly -7.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.32%62.29%62.24%65.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.481.481.5472.46%67.77%67.57%64.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.20%5.21odd justa
EV -3.60%
Vantagem -0.718%
Kelly -0.897%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.46%19.29%19.17%20.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.774.805.0222.22%20.96%20.83%19.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 18.52%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante): 62.28%; Empate: 19.20%. Para Liaoning Tieren FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.40. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.40%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:25
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:24
Unibet (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:24
Grosvenor🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:25
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:25
betPARX🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -10.94%E -7.65%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:24
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV +7.40%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.114%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.16%EV -11.56%E -8.14%K -27.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV +6.47%E +1.13%K +1.36%G +0.088%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -12.18%E -8.64%K -29.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV +3.69%E +0.660%K +0.803%G +0.030%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -14.05%E -10.18%K -36.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV +3.69%E +0.660%K +0.803%G +0.030%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -14.05%E -10.18%K -36.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 10:25
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:30
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:17
Marathon Bet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.64%E -0.901%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.67%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 11:25
Pinnacle🎯5.14I 19.46%NM 18.61%EV -4.82%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.11%EV -4.09%E -2.65%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.28%EV -4.76%E -0.959%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 11:29
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -5.56%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.09%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:20
1xBet🎯5.01I 19.96%NM 18.66%EV -7.23%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.04%EV -5.72%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 11:30
GTbets🎯5.01I 19.96%NM 18.50%EV -7.23%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.04%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.46%EV -3.60%E -0.718%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 11:20
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -3.99%E -0.798%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.49%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:19
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:19
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 11:30
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 11:30
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.34%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 11:20
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.34%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 11:20
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 11:29
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.10%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:20
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.84%EV -5.96%E -3.94%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:19
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:20
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:19
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.12%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:19
LeoVegas🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 11:29
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:29
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.39%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 11:25
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.97%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -14.82%E -3.22%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.69%E -6.68%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -7.83%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 11:20
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.67%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.67%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.82%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -13.59%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-02 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-08-02 11:30
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-08-02 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-08-02 11:30
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%2.1%2026-08-02 11:30