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Henan FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Henan FC (Local)
Prediction 78.23%1.28fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +5.67%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.11%78.30%78.16%80.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.191.191.3089.29%84.21%84.03%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)
Prediction 7.98%12.54fair odd
EV +7.68%
Edge +0.569%
Kelly +0.615%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 13.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.86%8.01%7.84%11.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0911.2911.0013.5012.36%8.86%9.09%7.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 13.79%7.25fair odd
EV +3.45%
Edge +0.460%
Kelly +0.530%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.27%13.69%14.00%16.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.646.507.5017.39%15.05%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 78.23%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit): 7.98%; Draw: 13.79%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.54. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV +1.70%E +1.31%K +5.67%G +0.096% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.59%EV -35.47%E -4.38%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -20.69%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -2.21%E -1.77%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV -21.83%E -2.23%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -14.48%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-17 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.92%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 12.21I 8.19%NM 7.82%EV -2.60%E -0.213%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.26%EV -0.691%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| GTbets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.83%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 11.23I 8.90%NM 8.39%EV -10.42%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 13.79%EV -5.79%E -0.848%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.90%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 11:24 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| betPARX | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 11:17 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -11.73%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -14.48%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018% | 5.7% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.82%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.03%EV -0.691%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.56%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -20.69%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.46%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.44%EV -13.10%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018% | 6.4% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-17 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-17 11:10 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-17 10:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.45%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -8.97%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-17 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.82%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.86%EV +7.68%E +0.569%K +0.615%G +0.047% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.32%EV -4.14%E -0.596%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-17 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.71%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 10:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -10.03%E -8.73%K -66.90%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 11:24 |
| betano_uk | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-17 11:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.20%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-17 10:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.60%E -10.27%K -89.23%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -12.38%E -11.06%K -103.18%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.14% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.83% | 0.6% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 0.6% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 0.6% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.84% | 1.3% | 2026-07-17 11:25 |