The School of Odds

Henan FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

2026-07-17 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Prediction 58.69%1.70fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -7.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.89%58.65%58.74%60.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.6268%64%64%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)

Prediction 17.98%5.56fair odd
EV -0.738%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.163%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.11%18.06%17.94%19.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.405.145.205.5223%19%19%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.32%4.29fair odd
EV -0.876%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.269%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.94%23.28%23.32%24.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.603.964.004.2528%25%25%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.97%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.50%EV -1.82%E -0.333%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.53%EV -5.31%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 11:48
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-13 10:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.50%E -3.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 10:40
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.50%E -3.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 10:40
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.50%E -3.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.20%EV -8.29%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 11:49
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.20%EV -8.29%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 11:50
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -6.09%E -3.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -14.58%E -3.07%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 12:05
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.40%EV -6.68%E -4.20%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.11%EV -0.738%E -0.134%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.49%EV -6.24%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 10:00
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -7.26%E -4.60%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.59%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.04%E -0.486%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 10:19
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.26%E -4.60%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.59%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 10:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -7.26%E -4.60%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.69%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 10:50
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -7.26%E -4.60%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.69%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 10:49
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -5.59%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -0.876%E -0.206%K -0.269%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 10:25
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -6.49%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.04%E -0.486%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 10:23
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -0.876%E -0.206%K -0.269%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 10:25
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -4.69%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -8.11%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 11:45
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.85%E -5.00%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 10:25
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -8.44%E -5.41%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 10:25
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -2.90%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.37%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -2.90%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.37%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:45
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -2.90%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.37%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:45
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -2.90%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.37%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:45
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -2.90%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.37%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:44
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -2.90%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.37%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:45
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.69%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-13 11:45
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 11:38
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 11:44
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.46%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.31%EV -10.99%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-13 10:49
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-13 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -10.20%E -6.66%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -4.69%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 11:44
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.20%E -6.66%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-13 10:21
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.20%EV -10.78%E -7.09%K -20.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -15.48%E -3.29%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-13 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.27%EV -11.37%E -7.53%K -22.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -11.89%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -13.70%E -3.70%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-13 10:50
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.94%EV -11.96%E -7.97%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -6.49%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -7.87%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-13 11:45
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.94%EV -11.96%E -7.97%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -6.49%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -7.87%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-13 11:45
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 57.23%EV -13.13%E -8.87%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.25%EV -20.88%E -4.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.53%EV -16.04%E -4.45%K -6.17%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-13 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.