A Escola das Odds

Henan FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Início: 2026-07-17 11:35 UTC

Final: Henan FC 5–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Previsão 78.23%1.28odd justa
EV +1.70%
Vantagem +1.31%
Kelly +5.67%
Crescimento +0.096%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.11%78.30%78.16%80.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.191.191.3089.29%84.21%84.03%76.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)

Previsão 7.98%12.54odd justa
EV +7.68%
Vantagem +0.569%
Kelly +0.615%
Crescimento +0.047%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.86%8.01%7.84%11.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.0911.2911.0013.5012.36%8.86%9.09%7.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 13.79%7.25odd justa
EV +3.45%
Vantagem +0.460%
Kelly +0.530%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.27%13.69%14.00%16.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.756.646.507.5017.39%15.05%15.38%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV +1.70%E +1.31%K +5.67%G +0.096%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.59%EV -35.47%E -4.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -20.69%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:30
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -2.21%E -1.77%K -8.85%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV -21.83%E -2.23%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -14.48%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 07:35
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 11:30
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 78.92%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%12.21I 8.19%NM 7.82%EV -2.60%E -0.213%K -0.232%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.26%EV -0.691%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 11:25
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 77.83%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%11.23I 8.90%NM 8.39%EV -10.42%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.79%EV -5.79%E -0.848%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 11:30
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.90%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:20
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:24
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:17
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -11.73%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -14.48%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 11:30
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%5.7%2026-07-17 11:30
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 78.82%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.03%EV -0.691%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:20
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 76.56%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -20.69%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.46%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.44%EV -13.10%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:30
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%6.4%2026-07-17 11:30
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:10
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:10
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 10:45
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 77.45%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -8.97%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:25
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:25
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 11:25
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 11:30
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.82%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.86%EV +7.68%E +0.569%K +0.615%G +0.047%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.32%EV -4.14%E -0.596%K -0.696%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.71%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 10:54
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -10.03%E -8.73%K -66.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%8.6%2026-07-17 11:24
betano_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 11:24
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.20%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.60%E -10.27%K -89.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 11:30
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -12.38%E -11.06%K -103.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.14%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.83%0.6%2026-07-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-07-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-07-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.84%1.3%2026-07-17 11:25