مدرسة الاحتمالات

Henan FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

البداية: 2026-07-17 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Henan FC 5–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Henan FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 78.23%1.28السعر العادل
EV +1.70%
الأفضلية +1.31%
Kelly +5.67%
النمو +0.096%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.11%78.30%78.16%80.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.191.191.3089.29%84.21%84.03%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 7.98%12.54السعر العادل
EV +7.68%
الأفضلية +0.569%
Kelly +0.615%
النمو +0.047%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 13.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.86%8.01%7.84%11.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.0911.2911.0013.5012.36%8.86%9.09%7.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 13.79%7.25السعر العادل
EV +3.45%
الأفضلية +0.460%
Kelly +0.530%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.27%13.69%14.00%16.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.756.646.507.5017.39%15.05%15.38%13.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV +1.70%E +1.31%K +5.67%G +0.096%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.59%EV -35.47%E -4.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -20.69%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:30
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -2.21%E -1.77%K -8.85%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV -21.83%E -2.23%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -14.48%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 07:35
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 11:30
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 78.92%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%12.21I 8.19%NM 7.82%EV -2.60%E -0.213%K -0.232%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.26%EV -0.691%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 11:25
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 77.83%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%11.23I 8.90%NM 8.39%EV -10.42%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.79%EV -5.79%E -0.848%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 11:30
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.90%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:20
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:24
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:17
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -11.73%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -14.48%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 11:30
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%5.7%2026-07-17 11:30
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 78.82%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.03%EV -0.691%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:20
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 76.56%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -20.69%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.46%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.44%EV -13.10%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:30
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%6.4%2026-07-17 11:30
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:10
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:10
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 10:45
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 77.45%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -8.97%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:25
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:25
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 11:25
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 11:30
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.82%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.86%EV +7.68%E +0.569%K +0.615%G +0.047%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.32%EV -4.14%E -0.596%K -0.696%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.71%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 10:54
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -10.03%E -8.73%K -66.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%8.6%2026-07-17 11:24
betano_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 11:24
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.20%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.60%E -10.27%K -89.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 11:30
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -12.38%E -11.06%K -103.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 11:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.14%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.83%0.6%2026-07-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-07-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-07-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.84%1.3%2026-07-17 11:25