L’École des cotes

Henan FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 11:35 UTC

Score final : Henan FC 5–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Prévision 78.23%1.28cote équitable
EV +1.70%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +5.67%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.11%78.30%78.16%80.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.191.191.3089.29%84.21%84.03%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.98%12.54cote équitable
EV +7.68%
Avantage +0.569%
Kelly +0.615%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 13.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.86%8.01%7.84%11.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.0911.2911.0013.5012.36%8.86%9.09%7.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.79%7.25cote équitable
EV +3.45%
Avantage +0.460%
Kelly +0.530%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.27%13.69%14.00%16.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.646.507.5017.39%15.05%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV +1.70%E +1.31%K +5.67%G +0.096%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.59%EV -35.47%E -4.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -20.69%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:30
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -2.21%E -1.77%K -8.85%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV -21.83%E -2.23%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -14.48%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 07:35
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 11:30
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 78.92%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%12.21I 8.19%NM 7.82%EV -2.60%E -0.213%K -0.232%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.26%EV -0.691%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 11:25
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 77.83%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%11.23I 8.90%NM 8.39%EV -10.42%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.79%EV -5.79%E -0.848%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 11:30
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.90%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:20
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:24
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:17
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -11.73%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -14.48%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 11:30
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%5.7%2026-07-17 11:30
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 78.82%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.03%EV -0.691%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:20
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 76.56%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -20.69%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.46%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.44%EV -13.10%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:30
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%6.4%2026-07-17 11:30
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:10
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:10
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 10:45
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 77.45%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -8.97%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:25
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:25
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 11:25
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 11:30
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.82%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.86%EV +7.68%E +0.569%K +0.615%G +0.047%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.32%EV -4.14%E -0.596%K -0.696%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.71%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 10:54
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -10.03%E -8.73%K -66.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%8.6%2026-07-17 11:24
betano_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 11:24
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.20%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.60%E -10.27%K -89.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 11:30
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -12.38%E -11.06%K -103.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.14%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.83%0.6%2026-07-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-07-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-07-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.84%1.3%2026-07-17 11:25