La escuela de los momios

Henan FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Inicio: 2026-07-17 11:35 UTC

Final: Henan FC 5–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Predicción 78.23%1.28momio equitativo
EV +1.70%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +5.67%
Crecimiento +0.096%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.11%78.30%78.16%80.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.191.191.3089.29%84.21%84.03%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)

Predicción 7.98%12.54momio equitativo
EV +7.68%
Ventaja +0.569%
Kelly +0.615%
Crecimiento +0.047%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.86%8.01%7.84%11.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.0911.2911.0013.5012.36%8.86%9.09%7.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 13.79%7.25momio equitativo
EV +3.45%
Ventaja +0.460%
Kelly +0.530%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.27%13.69%14.00%16.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.646.507.5017.39%15.05%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV +1.70%E +1.31%K +5.67%G +0.096%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.59%EV -35.47%E -4.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -20.69%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:30
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -2.21%E -1.77%K -8.85%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV -21.83%E -2.23%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -14.48%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 07:35
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 11:30
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 78.92%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%12.21I 8.19%NM 7.82%EV -2.60%E -0.213%K -0.232%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.26%EV -0.691%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 11:25
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 77.83%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%11.23I 8.90%NM 8.39%EV -10.42%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.79%EV -5.79%E -0.848%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 11:30
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.90%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:20
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 11:24
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:30
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:20
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 11:17
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -11.73%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -14.48%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 11:30
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%5.7%2026-07-17 11:30
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 78.82%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.03%EV -0.691%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:20
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 76.56%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -20.69%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.46%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.44%EV -13.10%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:30
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%6.4%2026-07-17 11:30
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:10
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:10
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 10:45
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 77.45%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -8.97%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:25
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.69%E -6.52%K -42.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:25
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 11:25
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 11:30
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -12.26%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -13.79%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:20
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.82%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.86%EV +7.68%E +0.569%K +0.615%G +0.047%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.32%EV -4.14%E -0.596%K -0.696%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.71%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -16.25%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 10:54
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -10.03%E -8.73%K -66.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -4.28%E -0.357%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +3.45%E +0.460%K +0.530%G +0.018%8.6%2026-07-17 11:24
betano_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 11:24
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.20%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -24.22%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -10.35%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.60%E -10.27%K -89.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 11:30
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -12.38%E -11.06%K -103.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV +3.70%E +0.284%K +0.308%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -3.45%E -0.493%K -0.575%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 11:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.14%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.83%0.6%2026-07-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-07-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%0.6%2026-07-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-07-17 11:30
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.84%1.3%2026-07-17 11:25