Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.98
assuming max odds 4.31
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 48.29%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 23.29%; Draw: 28.42%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.385%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.56%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.31%EV +0.385%E +0.089%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.20%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.62%EV -1.71%E -0.405%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%EV -7.06%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -5.67%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -9.62%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.37%E -0.990%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.37%E -0.990%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.25%EV -5.36%E -2.73%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.76%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.98%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -8.74%E -4.62%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -10.33%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.75%EV -10.19%E -5.48%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.41%EV -12.12%E -6.66%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.15%E -6.30%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.32%E -4.88%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.32%E -4.88%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |