La escuela de los momios

Dalian Yingbo v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Inicio: 2026-05-01 11:00 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 1–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Predicción 48.29%2.07momio equitativo
EV -4.39%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -4.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.12%48.21%48.23%49.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.931.941.9854.95%51.85%51.55%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)

Predicción 23.29%4.29momio equitativo
EV +0.385%
Ventaja +0.089%
Kelly +0.116%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.90%23.34%23.34%25.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.883.904.3128.17%25.79%25.64%23.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.42%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -0.990%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.07%28.45%28.43%29.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.11%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.56%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.31%EV +0.385%E +0.089%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 07:54
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 07:55
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 07:54
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.20%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.62%EV -1.71%E -0.405%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%EV -7.06%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 07:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 07:55
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -5.67%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -9.62%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 07:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.37%E -0.990%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.37%E -0.990%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 07:55
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.25%EV -5.36%E -2.73%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.76%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.98%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 07:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:53
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -8.74%E -4.62%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -10.33%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 07:54
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 07:53
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.75%EV -10.19%E -5.48%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 07:54
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 07:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 07:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.41%EV -12.12%E -6.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.15%E -6.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-01 07:54
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.32%E -4.88%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.32%E -4.88%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-05-01 07:54