A Escola das Odds

Dalian Yingbo v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Início: 2026-05-01 11:00 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 1–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Previsão 48.29%2.07odd justa
EV -4.39%
Vantagem -2.22%
Kelly -4.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.12%48.21%48.23%49.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.821.931.941.9854.95%51.85%51.55%50.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)

Previsão 23.29%4.29odd justa
EV +0.385%
Vantagem +0.089%
Kelly +0.116%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.90%23.34%23.34%25.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.553.883.904.3128.17%25.79%25.64%23.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.42%3.52odd justa
EV -3.37%
Vantagem -0.990%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.07%28.45%28.43%29.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.11%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.56%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.31%EV +0.385%E +0.089%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 07:54
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 07:55
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 07:54
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.20%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.62%EV -1.71%E -0.405%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%EV -7.06%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 07:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 07:55
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -5.67%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -9.62%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 07:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.37%E -0.990%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.37%E -0.990%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 07:55
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.25%EV -5.36%E -2.73%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.76%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.98%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 07:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:53
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -8.74%E -4.62%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -10.33%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 07:54
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 07:53
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.75%EV -10.19%E -5.48%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 07:54
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 07:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 07:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.41%EV -12.12%E -6.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.15%E -6.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-01 07:54
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.32%E -4.88%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.32%E -4.88%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-05-01 07:54