مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dalian Yingbo v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

البداية: 2026-05-01 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Dalian Yingbo 1–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.29%2.07السعر العادل
EV -4.39%
الأفضلية -2.22%
Kelly -4.48%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.98

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.12%48.21%48.23%49.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.931.941.9854.95%51.85%51.55%50.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.29%4.29السعر العادل
EV +0.385%
الأفضلية +0.089%
Kelly +0.116%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.90%23.34%23.34%25.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.553.883.904.3128.17%25.79%25.64%23.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.42%3.52السعر العادل
EV -3.37%
الأفضلية -0.990%
Kelly -1.40%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.07%28.45%28.43%29.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.11%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.56%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.31%EV +0.385%E +0.089%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 07:54
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 07:55
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 07:54
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.20%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.62%EV -1.71%E -0.405%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%EV -7.06%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 07:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 07:55
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -5.67%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -9.62%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 07:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.37%E -0.990%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.37%E -0.990%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 07:55
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.25%EV -5.36%E -2.73%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.76%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.98%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 07:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:53
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -8.74%E -4.62%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -10.33%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 07:54
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 07:53
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.75%EV -10.19%E -5.48%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 07:54
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 07:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 07:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.41%EV -12.12%E -6.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.15%E -6.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-01 07:54
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.32%E -4.88%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.32%E -4.88%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-30 23:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-05-01 07:54