L’École des cotes

Dalian Yingbo v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 11:00 UTC

Score final : Dalian Yingbo 1–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prévision 48.29%2.07cote équitable
EV -4.39%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -4.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.12%48.21%48.23%49.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.931.941.9854.95%51.85%51.55%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.29%4.29cote équitable
EV +0.385%
Avantage +0.089%
Kelly +0.116%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.90%23.34%23.34%25.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.883.904.3128.17%25.79%25.64%23.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.42%3.52cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -0.990%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.07%28.45%28.43%29.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.11%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.56%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.31%EV +0.385%E +0.089%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 07:54
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 07:55
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 07:54
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.20%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.62%EV -1.71%E -0.405%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%EV -7.06%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 07:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 07:55
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -5.67%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -9.62%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 07:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.37%E -0.990%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.37%E -0.990%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 07:55
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.25%EV -5.36%E -2.73%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.76%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.98%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:54
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 07:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:53
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -8.74%E -4.62%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -10.33%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 07:54
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 07:53
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.75%EV -10.19%E -5.48%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 07:54
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 07:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.66%E -3.38%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.89%E -3.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 07:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.05%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.41%EV -12.12%E -6.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -16.15%E -4.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.15%E -6.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-01 07:54
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.32%E -4.88%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.32%E -4.88%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-05-01 07:54