Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.95
assuming max odds 4.79
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 48.81%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 22.57%; Draw: 28.62%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.13%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.26%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.05%EV +8.13%E +1.70%K +2.14%G +0.174% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.69%EV -10.43%E -3.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV +7.22%E +1.52%K +1.93%G +0.139% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.97%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.16%EV +4.74%E +1.02%K +1.30%G +0.062% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.87%EV -13.29%E -4.39%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.84%E +0.834%K +1.07%G +0.041% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 10:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.452%G +0.007% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 10:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.452%G +0.007% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.81%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -0.676%E -0.154%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -11.86%E -3.85%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.34%EV -0.902%E -0.205%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.36%EV -8.71%E -2.73%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -2.26%E -0.521%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 10:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -14.72%E -4.94%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -14.72%E -4.94%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 12:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 12:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 12:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 12:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.03%EV -14.10%E -8.01%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-07 12:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 12:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 12:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 10:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -7.75%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.09%E -3.40%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -15.35%E -4.09%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -18.73%E -5.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-11 10:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.47% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |